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NZDUSD: Overbought and vulnerable to a pull back.

Technically trend in NZDUSD remains bullish as price continues making higher highs and higher lows. Price is still inside the medium-term bullish channel. However this is not the time to open new long positions.


Black lines - bullish channel

Red lines - expected price path

NZDUSD is trading around 0.6950. Price is showing slowing down signs. The chances of a reversal and a move lower have increased. The RSI is providing us with bearish divergence signals. Short-term support is at 0.6930 and failure to stay above it will lead price lower. At current level we prefer to be neutral if not bearish. A pull back towards 0.6830 is expect in order to relieve the oscillators from overbought conditions. Key support by the upward sloping channel is found at 0.6780. Breaking below this level will have bearish impact on the pair.

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