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GBP/USD Hot Forecast on 17 March


The British pound came under heavy selling pressure after the BOE adopted a cautious tone with regards to futures rate hikes. Additionally, one MPC member voted against Thursday's 25 bps rate increase. GBP/USD was last seen testing 1.3100.

The technical picture suggests that the pair remains bullish in the near term with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator on the four-hour chart staying near 60. Additionally, GBP/USD trades above the 20-period and the 50-period SMAs on the same chart.

On the upside, 1.3200 (psychological level, Fibonacci 50% retracement of the latest downtrend) aligns as the first technical resistance. In case a four-hour candle closes above that level on a hawkish BOE hike, the next bullish target is located at 1.3250 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) before 1.3300 (former support).

Supports could be seen at 1.3150 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement), 1.3100 (psychological level, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement, 50-period SMA) and 1.3075 (20-period SMA).

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